CDC COVID Map Shows Only Long Island at High Risk – NBC New York

The COVID-19 outlook throughout New York state has vastly improved, with simply two of its 62 counties now thought of at excessive threat for neighborhood COVID unfold, in keeping with the CDC’s newest threat replace.

It marks a complete reversal from this time final month, when all however eight — or 87% — of Empire State counties have been thought of excessive threat. However there’s nonetheless one downside space.

Long Island is dwelling to each counties that also benefit the federal well being company’s high-risk designation as of Friday. The CDC assesses threat based mostly on the identical three metrics New York Metropolis does — case and new hospital admissions charges per 100,000 residents and proportion of staffed inpatient beds in use by COVID sufferers.

Nassau County is struggling extra with infections, based mostly on the CDC’s newest replace. Its new case price of 238.3 is greater than Suffolk County’s (200.46), although new hospital admission charges (12.8%) and inpatient mattress use (5.3%) are the identical.

Long Island has additionally been driving up infections throughout the state recently, reporting the best rolling positivity price (7.51%) of all 10 areas by a substantial quantity. The following-highest rolling price is owned by Western New York (6.12%), adopted by the Mid-Hudson area (6%). New York Metropolis’s rolling positivity price of 5.07%, in keeping with the state’s newest replace, falls beneath the statewide common of 5.47%.

All 5 boroughs have been downgraded weeks in the past from the CDC’s highest threat class. Within the newest federal replace, solely the Bronx, which was lengthy the lone holdout within the medium-risk class earlier than becoming a member of the opposite boroughs in late Might, is low threat.

And but, New York Metropolis well being officers say the town stays at a excessive COVID alert stage. That had appeared on observe to vary this week, based mostly on a prolonged Twitter thread by which well being chief Dr. Ashwin Vasan declared the most recent peak had handed. Mayor Eric Adams’ speedy comply with — lifting the toddler masks mandate — offered additional encouragement on that entrance. However no alert stage transition has come but.

The metrics available on the city alert page as of 11 a.m. Friday nonetheless mirror an imminent change is probably going, with the rolling hospitalization price (10.1) simply barely over the edge that triggers a excessive alert when new case charges are additionally above 200.0.

Why the discrepancy between New York Metropolis well being officers and the CDC?

There could possibly be different reporting elements at play. The CDC assesses threat at the state or county stage, for instance, whereas New York Metropolis bases its evaluation on citywide numbers. Variations in information movement and communication may additionally play a task.

Both approach, specialists seem to agree it is obvious that every one indicators are pointing in the suitable route for New York Metropolis because it emerges from this newest pandemic risk.

The newest wave has been largely blamed on the omicron subvariant BA.2.12.1, which has been stated to be at least 25% extra transmissible than the pressure that got here earlier than it, omicron’s BA.2. BA.2 was considered at least 30% extra contagious than the unique omicron, which, as all of America and the globe noticed this previous winter, was probably the most infectious COVID pressure to this point at the time it emerged.

Hospitalizations elevated, although to a lesser and extra manageable diploma than they did throughout earlier waves related to omicron and delta.

Related patterns performed out throughout the state at different occasions over the previous couple of months, although the downstate area that features New York Metropolis doubtless skilled that variant unfold sooner than different states and main metro areas, based mostly on the U.S. spots nonetheless grappling with excessive common COVID case and hospitalization charges.

Nationally, 329 — or 10.21% of — United States counties are thought of excessive threat for neighborhood COVID unfold by the CDC. That is up a couple of half proportion level within the final week, with the variety of medium-risk counties dropping by 3.38%. The overwhelming majority of American counties — 60.4% of them — are at low threat.

Seven of 21 New Jersey counties are nonetheless thought of excessive threat by the CDC, although that quantity is down by 4 for the reason that prior replace and most points now seem confined to the southern a part of the state. Connecticut, in the meantime, is formally all inexperienced other than New London County, the one one of many eight nonetheless at medium threat.

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