Crunching the COVID-19 Numbers: Cases creeping upward in NYC as holidays approach, but hospitalizations steady and low

Simply in time for the begin of the vacation season this week, COVID-19 circumstances are on the rise throughout New York Metropolis — but the state of affairs isn’t practically as grim as it was this time a yr in the past.

Public officers urged New Yorkers in November 2020 to keep away from giant household gatherings for Turkey Day, fearing a dramatic surge in COVID-19 circumstances in the weeks after Thanksgiving, main into Christmas, Hanukkah, Kwanzaa and New 12 months’s. But again then, the COVID-19 vaccine had but to be made broadly out there to the public. 

Right now, vaccinations haven’t solely helped reopen New York Metropolis over the previous yr, but additionally enabled New Yorkers to guard themselves and their family members to allow them to once more get pleasure from the holidays collectively. Nonetheless, the threat of COVID-19 an infection stays, notably amongst the unvaccinated, and circumstances are rising as the climate will get colder and extra occasions transfer indoors.

Heading into Thanksgiving week, 25 communities throughout the 5 Boroughs have 7-day positivity charges above 3%, in accordance with the metropolis’s Division of Psychological Well being and Hygiene. Thirty-five neighborhoods noticed 50 or extra new COVID-19 infections between Nov. 10-16. 

East Williamsburg/Williamsburg, Brooklyn (ZIP code 11211), once more led the whole metropolis in the variety of new COVID-19 circumstances final week, with 131. That was adopted intently by Ridgewood/Glendale, Queens (11385) with 127, adopted by the Brooklyn areas of South Williamsburg (11206, 90 circumstances), Midwood (11230, 88 circumstances), Tub Seashore/Bensonhurst/Gravesend (11214, 85 circumstances), Brooklyn Heights/DUMBO/Downtown Brooklyn (11201, 81 circumstances); and Bay Ridge/Fort Hamilton (11209, 81 circumstances).

Areas of the 5 Boroughs with the most new COVID-19 circumstances between Nov. 10-16, 2021.New York Metropolis Well being Division

The Nice Kills space of Staten Island (10308) had the highest 7-day positivity price in the metropolis between Nov. 10-16, at 6.21%, with 63 new circumstances detected. Two different Staten Island neighborhoods had been in the high 10 for positivity: Charleston/Prince’s Bay/Woodrow (10309, 5.06%, 60 new circumstances) and Lighthouse Hill/Midland Seashore/New Dorp/Oakwood (10306, 3.88%, 72 new circumstances).

The New York Metropolis areas with the highest 7-day positivity charges between Nov. 10-16, 2021.New York Metropolis Well being Division

Transmission charges, which observe the unfold of COVID-19 throughout the metropolis, are additionally ticking upward. The citywide price, as of Nov. 14, stood at 99.94 circumstances per 100,000 folks, up from 82.81 per 100,000 reported per week earlier.

Each borough but the Bronx has a better transmission price than the citywide quantity, with Staten Island main the approach at 139.24 circumstances per 100,000 folks. 

The transmission charges for the 5 Boroughs of New York Metropolis, as of Nov. 14, 2021.New York Metropolis Well being Division

But even with extra New Yorkers getting contaminated with COVID-19, the encouraging information is that hospitalizations and deaths stay steady and low. The hospitalization price as of Nov. 14 was 0.64 per 100,000 residents. 

Most of the COVID-19 infections requiring hospitalization in New York Metropolis proceed to contain unvaccinated residents. The hospitalization price for unvaccinated New Yorkers, as of Nov. 7, was 14.41 per 100,000 residents; against this, the hospitalization price for vaccinated New Yorkers contaminated with breakthrough COVID-19 circumstances was simply 1.41 per 100,000.

Vaccines proceed to supply sturdy safety from New Yorkers, and final week, the metropolis and CDC urged all vaccinated New Yorkers to get booster pictures to additional shield themselves towards the virus.

Remedy of COVID-19 has additionally come a good distance in latest months, with new therapies such as monoclonal antibodies serving to to cut back the severity of an infection, and forestall New Yorkers from changing into severely sick and/or dying of COVID-19.

But loads of New York Metropolis neighborhoods proceed to battle with low vaccination charges. Eleven communities have 60% or fewer residents having obtained the first dose of the COVID-19 vaccine, with Borough Park, Brooklyn atop that checklist with simply 49% of residents with one dose and 46% totally vaccinated.

Different low-vaxxed areas embody Edgemere/Far Rockaway, Queens (11692, 54% with one dose, 48% totally vaccinated) and the Brooklyn areas of Bedford-Stuyvesant/Clinton Hill/Fort Greene (11205, 56% one dose, 51% totally vaccinated), Midwood (11230, 57% one dose, 51% totally vaccinated); and Flatlands/Midwood (11210, 57% one dose, 52% totally vaccinated).

The ten New York Metropolis neighborhoods with the lowest vaccination charges as of Nov. 21, 2021.New York Metropolis Well being Division

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