Crunching the COVID-19 Numbers: Infections begin rising again in NYC, but hospitalizations and deaths remain lower

Very similar to final fall’s pre-holiday surge, COVID-19 circumstances are starting to rise again throughout New York Metropolis — but the story this time is far totally different, because of the vaccination effort.

Transmission of COVID-19 is rising as soon as again, with 82.81 circumstances per 100,000 residents citywide as of Nov. 14. The 7-day positivity fee, as of Nov. 12, had additionally elevated to 1.68%, up from the 1.46% fee reported on Nov. 5.

But the variety of folks hospitalized with COVID-19 continues to say no. As of Nov. 9, the metropolis reported a 7-day common variety of hospitalizations of simply 20; a month earlier, on Oct. 9, that 7-day common was 62.

Deaths from COVID-19 have additionally dropped, from a 7-day common of 12 deaths on Oct. 9 to simply 6 deaths on Nov. 9 — a 50% discount in the common in a month’s time.

None of that is by probability. Virtually three-quarters of all New Yorkers have obtained at the very least the first dose of the COVID-19 vaccine, the metropolis’s Well being Division reported on Nov. 14.

New York Metropolis Well being Division

With extra New Yorkers getting vaccinated, they’re higher in a position to combat off the virus or scale back the severity of its signs if contaminated. Makes use of of monoclonal antibodies, amongst these contaminated with COVID-19 who’re at larger threat of extreme sickness, have additionally helped deal with sufferers and forestall critical, life-threatening outcomes.

Nonetheless, there are many new COVID-19 hotspots throughout the 5 Boroughs. Seven areas reported a 7-day positivity fee of over 3% between Nov. 3-9, together with Belle Harbor/Neponsit/Rockaway Park, Queens (ZIP code 11694), which led the metropolis with a 4.13% fee. Nevertheless, simply 21 new circumstances had been reported there.

Two different areas of Queens additionally had 7-day positivity charges above 3% throughout the interval: Edgemere/Far Rockaway (11691, 3.67%, 69 new circumstances) and Bayside (11360, 3.42%, 17 new circumstances). 

Three Staten Island communities additionally exceeded 3% positivity between Nov. 3-9. The town’s Well being Division reported that The Rock continues to have the highest transmission fee of all 5 Boroughs, at 107.95 circumstances per 100,000 residents.

The 15 areas of New York Metropolis with the highest 7-day positivity charges between Nov. 3-9, 2021.New York Metropolis Well being Division

East Williamsburg/Williamsburg, Brooklyn (11211) had the highest variety of new infections reported between Nov. 3-9, at 129 circumstances. 5 different areas exceeded 70 new circumstances throughout the interval, three of that are in Brooklyn: Midwood (11230, 81 new circumstances); Bergen Seashore/Flatlands/Marine Park/Mill Basin (11234, 71 new circumstances); and Gerritsen Seashore/Homecrest/Sheepshead Bay (11229, 70 new circumstances).

The Ridgewood/Glendale space of Queens (11385) had the second-most new COVID-19 circumstances throughout the week, at 95.

The 15 areas of New York Metropolis with the most new COVID-19 circumstances between Nov. 3-9, 2021.New York Metropolis Well being Division

So far as vaccinations go, whereas practically 75% of all residents have obtained at the very least the first dose, vaccine refusal or hesitancy stays strong in a variety of neighborhoods.

Twelve communities proceed to have lower than 60% of its inhabitants having obtained at the very least the first dose of the COVID-19 shot. Borough Park, Brooklyn is the solely group in the metropolis the place each the first dose fee (49%) and totally vaccinated fee (45%) remain beneath 50%.

Edgemere/Far Rockaway, Queens, which had the second-highest 7-day positivity fee between Nov. 3-9, has the second-worst first-dose (53%) and totally vaccinated (47%) charges in the 5 Boroughs.

The ten communities with the lowest first-dose charges in the metropolis, as of Nov. 14, 2021.New York Metropolis Well being Division

Again, it’s price noting that since vaccines grew to become extensively out there throughout New York Metropolis in January 2021, the variety of folks contaminated with COVID-19 has been disproportionately larger for unvaccinated New Yorkers.

New York Metropolis Well being Division

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