The primary seed within the AFC takes the sphere for the primary time within the 2023 playoffs when the Kansas City Cooks tackle the upstart Jacksonville Jaguars within the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs. We break down our top player props from the showdown.
Jacksonville Jaguars (10-8) @ Kansas City Chiefs (14-3)
- Location: Arrowhead Stadium
- Time: Saturday, January twenty first at 4:30 pm – ET
- Channel: NBC
- Unfold: KC -8.5
- Moneyline: KC (-480), JAX (+360)
- Over/Beneath: 53
If you wish to learn the complete sport preview, we coated it right here.
Top Player Props:
If you happen to’re going to be betting on motion moreover the unfold, listed below are three player props we like from Sunday afternoon’s sport:
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Marquez Valdes-Scantling – OVER 30.5 Receiving Yards
With Mecole Hardman seemingly not enjoying for the Chiefs, it’s a wonderful time to go searching the Kansas City receiving room. During the last two weeks, Valdes-Scantling has simply 55 complete receiving yards on 13 targets, however that’s not the entire story.
In accordance with PFF.com, Valdes-Scantling ranks 19th in the NFL on routes of 20+ yards. In the meantime, the Jacksonville Jaguars have the bottom grade in cross protection of any playoff crew remaining within the AFC. These two issues, and his uptick in targets, give me confidence in a modest day from M.V.S.
With the anecdotal information of the previous Inexperienced Bay Packer’s prowess over the top, this might flip right into a one-catch surprise, and you might be counting your cash early Saturday night.
The place to guess: head over to FanDuel Sportsbook, the place you will get M.V.S. o/30.5 receiving yards for -114 odds
Travis Kelce – OVER 81.5 Receiving Yards
You’ll snigger at Vegas after I inform you that the final time these two groups met in Week 10, Kelce registered 81 yards receiving. That’s eerie.
Whereas Jacksonville’s protection has allowed 68.6 yards per sport to tight ends on the season, issues may have been higher of late. Since Week 10 and the final time they performed the Chiefs, that quantity has jumped to 87.9 YPG. I poured over the harm stories and even the list of tight ends they faced prior, however it’s only a regression to the Jacksonville imply.
I additionally like Kelce as an anytime landing scorer, and the story is identical. Since Week 10, the Jaguars have allowed seven touchdowns by the hands of the tight finish. They’d allowed only one within the 9 weeks prior. A giant day from Kelce may very well be on the horizon.
The place to guess: this one is on the market on DraftKings o/u 79.5 yards (-125), however you’re getting higher odds on FanDuel at -114
Trevor Lawrence – UNDER 23.5 completions
This variety of completions for Lawrence may be barely inflated after he threw the ball 47 occasions of their playoff victory in opposition to the Chargers.
And though the second-year quarterback averages 23.1 completions per sport, I feel it is going to be more durable to get going in opposition to the Eleventh-ranked passing protection of the Chiefs.
Even if you happen to imagine the Chiefs go up huge and the Jaguars are pressured to throw the ball, this o/u feels suspiciously near the Vegas’ guess, and the general public will seemingly be all in on the over. I might fade right here and perhaps additionally put money into o/0.5 interceptions which you will discover on DraftKings for -150.
The place to guess: we’re mixing it up and utilizing that $5 Free Guess on DraftKings to wager in opposition to Lawrence at -105 odds.