Mets 2022 preview: Odds, projections, more

No different crew in Main League Baseball toes the superb line between success and Murphy’s Legislation (no matter can go fallacious, will) just like the New York Mets — and normally, all of it goes fallacious. 

However proprietor Steve Cohen continues to pump money into the group with the idea that they are going to be a World Sequence contender sooner reasonably than later. After a disappointing 2021 season that fell woefully in need of postseason expectations, he was at it once more.

A buying spree that price over $250 million introduced in Max Scherzer to pair up with Jacob deGrom, Starling Marte to be a bona fide heart fielder, Mark Canha to offer additional outfield depth and cushion the lack of Michael Conforto, and Eduardo Escobar to deliver more pop to the left aspect of the infield. 

On prime of that, the Mets raided the Oakland Athletics and got here away with certainly one of their All-Star pitchers, Chris Bassitt, to offer a sturdy No. 3 possibility. 

Now the core of deGrom, Pete Alonso, and Francisco Lindor have even more assist inside a well-rounded roster that — on paper — ought to be within the thick of the NL East race.

Murphy’s Legislation, nonetheless, already hasn’t been too far-off.

DeGrom was shut down final week for a shoulder problem that has shut him down from throwing for at the least one month. It’s left first-year supervisor Buck Showalter with the prospect of beginning Tylor Megill on Opening Day reasonably than the two-time Cy Younger Award winner.

Scherzer, a three-time Cy Younger Award winner himself, added even more nervousness in Queens when a hamstring problem cropped up shortly after deGrom’s exit. Nevertheless, the 37-year-old is on track to start out the crew’s second recreation of the yr on Friday for his Mets debut.

Brandon Nimmo, the perennial .400 on-base-percentage risk continues coping with neck points whereas an indirect downside seems as if it’s forcing Marte to proper subject for Opening Day — delaying the hope that the Mets have a authentic, every-day heart fielder that isn’t enjoying out of place.

All of the whereas, commerce rumors proceed to swirl round Dominic Smith and JD Davis whereas the bullpen nonetheless leaves one thing to be desired; particularly with nearer Edwin Diaz nonetheless having to show that he might be the elite shutdown man he was with the Seattle Mariners three years in the past. 

Sure, it is a crew that has vastly improved in comparison with final season. However, once more, that is the Mets, who seemingly discover methods to usher in calamity.

Which one will it’s this yr?

Let’s check out the crew’s odds this season and their projected outputs:

2022 NL East, Mets odds

Workforce Projected file Odds to win division Odds to make playoffs Odds to win World Sequence
Atlanta Braves 93-69 +120 -370 +950
New York Mets 89-73 +200 -245 +1200
Philadelphia Phillies 88-74 +330 -140 +2200
Miami Marlins 83-79 +1500 +275 +9000
Washington Nationals 73-89 +6000 +850 +15000

Odds courtesy of DraftKings. For more, click here.

Mets projected Opening Day Lineup, 2022 stats

Pete Alonso/Scott Taetsch-USA TODAY Sports activities
  1. Brandon Nimmo (CF): 133 G, .258 BA, .809 OPS, 16 HR, 52 RBI
  2. Starling Marte (RF): 134 G, .271 BA, .758 OPS, 16 HR, 64 RBI
  3. Francisco Lindor (SS): 152 G, .258 BA, .800 OPS, 29 HR, 88 RBI
  4. Pete Alonso (1B): 151 G, .260 BA, .894 OPS, 43 HR, 114 RBI
  5. Robinson Cano (DH): 113 G, .259 BA, .715 OPS, 14 HR, 56 RBI
  6. Eduardo Escobar (3B): 138 G, .244 BA, .752 OPS, 26 HR, 82 RBI
  7. Jeff McNeil (2B): 133 G, .281 BA, .776 OPS, 14 HR, 64 RBI
  8. Mark Canha (LF): 133 G, .235 BA, .765 OPS, 19 HR, 65 RBI
  9. James McCann (C): 96 G, .233 BA, .662 OPS, 10 HR, 42 RBI

Bench

  • Tomas Nido (C): 60 G, .221 BA, .615 OPS, 6 HR, 25 RBI
  • Luis Guillorme (INF): 26 G, .254 BA, .696 OPS, 2 HR, 9 RBI
  • JD Davis (INF/OF): 73 G, .254 BA, .767 OPS, 11 HR, 37 RBI
  • Dominic Smith (OF/1B): 96 G, .254 BA, .737 OPS, 13 HR, 55 RBI

Beginning Rotation

Jacob deGrom
Jacob deGrom/Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports activities
  • Tylor Megill (R): 18 GS, 104 IP, 6-6, 4.22 ERA, 111 Ok’s, 1.28 WHIP
  • Max Scherzer (R): 31 GS, 188 IP, 13-8, 3.26 ERA, 247 Ok’s, 1.03 WHIP
  • Chris Bassitt (R): 31 GS, 176 IP, 10-9, 3.95 ERA, 170 Ok’s, 1.22 WHIP
  • Carlos Carrasco (R): 26 GS, 139 IP, 10-8, 4.06 ERA, 143 Ok’s, 1.25 WHIP
  • Taijuan Walker (R): 26 GS, 140 IP, 8-9, 4.55 ERA, 131 Ok’s, 1.33 WHIP
  • Jacob deGrom (R)*: 19 GS, 114 IP, 8-4, 2.43 ERA, 163 Ok’s, 0.91 WHIP

Bullpen

  • Trevor Williams (R): 64 IP, 4.35 ERA, 8.08 Ok/9, 1.30 WHIP
  • Sean Reid-Foley (R): 33 IP, 4.47 ERA, 10.31 Ok/9, 1.44 WHIP
  • Chasen Shreve (L): 40 IP, 4.69 ERA, 9.05 Ok/9, 1.40 WHIP
  • Drew Smith (R): 56 IP, 4.44 ERA, 9.07 Ok/9, 1.33 WHIP
  • Joely Rodriguez (L): 60 IP, 3.31 ERA, 9.85 Ok/9, 1.24 WHIP
  • Seth Lugo (R): 70 IP, 3.82 ERA, 9.91 Ok/9, 1.18 WHIP
  • Adam Ottavino (R): 67 IP, 3.77 ERA, 11.14 Ok/9, 1.33 WHIP
  • Trevor Might (R): 66 IP, 3.66 ERA, 11.56 Ok/9, 1.20 WHIP
  • Edwin Diaz (R): 67 IP, 33 saves, 2.99 ERA, 13.43 Ok/9, 1.09 WHIP

*Denotes injured participant

Projections courtesy of FanGraphs Depth Chart, which is a mix of ZiPS and Steamer projections with enjoying time allotted by their workers.

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