Dec 27, 2021; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Memphis Grizzlies guard Ja Morant (12) defends Phoenix Suns guard Chris Paul (3) in the course of the first half at Footprint Heart. Obligatory Credit score: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports activities
After final evening’s small five-game slate of NBA motion, we’ve got an thrilling ten-game schedule within the NBA tonight. Let’s dive into the schedule, odds, and prime picks for Friday, April 1, 2022.
Toronto Raptors @ Orlando Magic, 7:00 p.m. ET
- Unfold: TOR -10
- Raptors final 10: 8-2
- Raptors ATS: 44-32-2 (third)
- Magic final 10: 3-7
- Magic ATS: 35-42 (twenty second)
- Over/Beneath: 216.5
- Over/Beneath Traits: Simply two of the Raptors’ final 5 video games have gone over the purpose whole, whereas three of the Magic’s final 5 video games have gone over. The Raptors are ninth in factors in opposition to per sport, and the Magic are nineteenth and eleven of their final twelve conferences in Orlando have gone underneath.
- Tempo of Play: Magic are tenth within the NBA in tempo, Raptors are twenty fifth.
- The decide: Franz Wagner over 2.5 assists
- Why?: Wagner has hit this whole in six of his final ten however 5 of his final six video games. The Raptors are twentieth within the NBA in assists allowed per sport, and we all know the Magic are going to try to play at a play at a quick tempo, which is able to profit this over.
Dallas Mavericks @ Washington Wizards, 7:00 p.m. ET
- Unfold: DAL -9
- Mavs final 10: 7-3
- Mavs ATS: 43-32-2 (4th)
- Wizards final 10: 4-6
- Wizards ATS: 30-44-2 (twenty ninth)
- Over/Beneath: 217.5
- Over/Beneath Traits: Each of those groups are trending in the direction of the underneath, with every of them solely hitting the over twice of their final 5 video games. The Mavericks are additionally second-best within the NBA in factors allowed per sport, whereas the Wizards are seventeenth, so if the Mavs can management the tempo of the sport, the underneath would seem like extra doubtless.
- Tempo of Play: Wizards are twenty third within the NBA in tempo, Mavericks are thirtieth.
- The decide: Luca Doncic over 46.5 PRA (Factors, Rebounds, and Assists)
- Why?: During the last 30 days, Doncic is averaging 30.3 factors, 9.3 rebounds, and eight assists per sport, which comes out to 47.3 PRA. He has the very best utilization fee within the NBA at 37% and will probably be further motivated going up in opposition to his previous teammate, Kristaps Porzingis. I count on Doncic to be concerned in just about every little thing tonight, which makes me really feel a little bit assured on this play regardless of the excessive whole.
For extra NBA odds as we speak and information, go to TailgateSports.com
Indiana Pacers @ Boston Celtics, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Unfold: BOS -14.5
- Pacers final 10: 3-7
- Pacers ATS: 33-41-4 (twenty fourth)
- Celtics final 10: 7-3
- Celtics ATS: 40-35-2 (eleventh)
- Over/Beneath: 226
- Over/Beneath Traits: That is one other sport that would all come right down to which workforce can management the tempo. The Celtics have hit the over in 4 of their final 5 video games, however the Pacers have solely achieved so in two of their final 5. Nonetheless, the Pacers have hit the over in every of their final two video games. The Celtics are 1st within the NBA in factors in opposition to per sport, so buckets could be onerous to return by for Indiana.
- Tempo of Play: Pacers are seventeenth within the NBA in tempo, Celtics are twenty fourth.
- The decide: Grant Williams underneath 1.5 assists
- Why?: Williams has solely hit this whole in three of his final 5 video games. Nonetheless, what actually stands out is that the percentages at coming in at -245 on the underneath, which is fairly rattling excessive. Clearly, it wouldn’t be a guess to play solo, however with how assured individuals see to be that he hits the underneath right here, Williams may very well be an excellent parlay onto another props you’re assured in.
Sacramento Kings @ Houston Rockets, 8:00 p.m ET
- Unfold: SAC -2.5
- Kings final 10: 4-6
- Kings ATS: 35-39-3 (nineteenth)
- Rockets final 10: 3-7
- Rockets ATS: 32-43-2 (twenty sixth)
- Over/Beneath: 235.5
- Over/Beneath Traits: The Kings wish to play a fast-paced sport and have hit the over in 4 of their final 5, together with every of their final three video games. The Rockets have additionally hit the over in every of their final two video games, however these are the one two occasions they’ve gone over of their final 5 video games. Nonetheless, the Rockets rank thirtieth in factors in opposition to this season, and the Kings rank twenty ninth, so neither one among these groups has actually had any success stopping anyone.
- Tempo of Play: Rockets are 2nd within the NBA in tempo, Kings are sixth
- The decide: Over 235.5 factors
- Why?: For all the explanations talked about above but additionally the tempo of play we’re prone to see.
Phoenix Suns @Memphis Grizzlies, 8:00 p.m. ET
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- Unfold: PHO -7.5
- Suns final 10: 9-1
- Suns ATS: 42-34 (seventh)
- Grizzlies final 10: 9-1
- Grizzlies ATS: 49-27-1 (1st)
- Over/Beneath: 227.5
- Over/Beneath Traits: 4 of the Grizzlies’ final 5 video games have gone underneath the whole, however solely two of the Suns’ final 5 have gone underneath. The Grizzlies rank twelfth in factors in opposition to, and the Suns rank seventh, so these are two sturdy defenses. Nonetheless, it must be famous that the Grizzlies are anticipated to be with out Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr., Desmond Bane, and Tyus Jones, which might depart them short-handed in a giant matchup.
- Tempo of Play: Grizzlies are third within the NBA in tempo, Suns are ninth.
- The decide: Grizzlies (+7.5)
- Why?: I do know, I do know, the workforce is lacking principally everyone, however hear me out, they’re nonetheless actually good. They’re finest within the NBA in opposition to the unfold and 6-0 as underdogs at house this season. Additionally, are we positive the Suns are going to play everyone? Each of those groups are principally locked into their playoff seeding, so perhaps they each take the chance to relaxation gamers relatively than beat up on one another so late within the season? I dunno, however I wrestle to guess in opposition to a very sturdy workforce who’s being given this many factors.
Los Angeles Clippers @ Milwaukee Bucks, 8:00 p.m. ET
- Unfold: MIL -7
- Clips final 10: 3-7
- Clips ATS: 37-40 (seventeenth)
- Bucks final 10: 7-3
- Bucks ATS: 37-39 (sixteenth)
- Over/Beneath: 225.5
- Over/Beneath Traits: The Clippers have gone over the purpose whole in 4 of their final 5 and pushed within the different, which ought to give us confidence within the over, besides that solely one of many Bucks’ final 5 video games have hit the over. The Bucks are additionally within the second sport of a back-to-back, which could sluggish their tempo much more.
- Tempo of Play: Bucks are seventh within the NBA in tempo, Pelicans are tied for seventeenth.
- The decide: TBD
- Why?: Picks should not up but attributable to potential accidents.
Detroit Pistons @ Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder, 8:00 p.m. ET
- Unfold: OKC -4.5
- Pistons final 10: 3-7
- Pistons ATS: 43-34 (fifth)
- Thunder final 10: 2-8
- Thunder ATS: 46-26-4 (2nd)
- Over/Beneath: 222
- Over/Beneath Traits: We’ve bought two groups on reverse ends of the tendencies right here. 4 of the Thunder’s final 5 video games have hit the over, however solely one of many Pistons’ final 5 have. In reality, 16 of the Thunder’s final 20 video games have gone over, which may gain advantage tonight from the Pistons rating twenty eighth within the NBA in factors allowed per sport.
- Tempo of Play: Thunder are twelfth within the NBA in tempo, Pistons are tied for twentieth.
- The decide: Aleksej Pokusevski underneath 8.5 rebounds
- Why?: So this one appears a bit bizarre. Sure, Pokusevski has been getting far more minutes of late with the Thunder principally having no wholesome starters; nevertheless, even with these further minutes, he’s not coming near hitting this prop. He’s gone over this whole in one among his final ten video games and is averaging 7.2 rebounds over that point. This line feels too excessive.
Portland Path Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs, 8:30 p.m. ET
- Unfold: SA -15
- Blazers final 10: 1-9
- Blazers ATS: 30-45-1 (thirtieth)
- Spurs final 10: 6-4
- Spurs ATS: 37-37-2 (fifteenth)
- Over/Beneath: 23o.5
- Over/Beneath Traits: So we’ve bought a decently excessive level whole and two groups which have each hit the underneath in 4 of their final 5 video games. Every of the final 4 video games between these groups has hit the underneath as effectively
- Tempo of Play: Spurs are 4th within the NBA in tempo, Blazers are tied for thirteenth.
- The decide: Beneath 230.5
- Why?: You’ve bought every little thing we talked about above and two groups which can be stepping into reverse instructions. The Blazers are so banged up that we are able to’t actually count on them to mount a lot of a struggle in opposition to the Spurs.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Denver Nuggets, 9:00 p.m. ET
- Unfold: DEN -3
- Wolves final 10: 5-5
- Wolves ATS: 42-34-1 (eighth)
- Nuggets final 10: 6-4
- Nuggets ATS: 35-42 (twenty first)
- Over/Beneath: 225.5
- Over/Beneath Traits: Two of the Wolves’ final 5 video games have gone over the whole, whereas three of the Nuggets’ final 5 have gone over. That is additionally the very best over/underneath whole on the slate tonight.
- Tempo of Play: Wolves are 1st within the NBA in tempo, Nuggets are tied for twentieth.
- The decide: Karl-Anthony Cities underneath 24.5 factors
- Why?: I do know this looks as if a straightforward goal to hit for a participant pretty much as good as Cities, however he hasn’t hit this whole in any of his final 5 video games and has solely hit this in 3 times in his final ten. He can even be going in opposition to Jokic, which must be a harder matchup than he’s seen in current video games as effectively.
New Orleans Pelicans @ Los Angeles Lakers, 10:30 p.m. ET
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- Unfold: NO -2
- Pelicans final 10: 6-4
- Pelicans ATS: 38-37-1 (thirteenth)
- Lakers final 10: 2-8
- Lakers ATS: 32-42-2 (twenty fifth)
- Over/Beneath: 225.5
- Over/Beneath Traits: 4 of the Lakers’ final 5 video games have gone over this whole as they play at a comparatively quick tempo, however solely one of many Pelican’s final 5 video games have gone over and 6 of their final seven have really gone underneath.
- Tempo of Play: Lakers are eighth within the NBA in tempo, Pelicans are tied for twentieth.
- The decide: Pelicans (-2)
- Why?: I do know LeBron James and/or Anthony Davis could also be again in time for this sport, however the line continues to be giving the Lakers an excessive amount of credit score. They’re merely not an excellent workforce, even with these two. They’re 4-14 for the reason that All-Star break, and the Pelicans want this sport for his or her playoff possibilities. I’m going to take the higher workforce relatively than speculating on a foul workforce being mounted by injured gamers presumably taking part in whereas nonetheless banged up.
NBA prop stats courtesy of DraftKings. For extra, click here.