COVID positivity charges in New York Metropolis have crept again as much as late-January ranges, as high medical doctors warn town could also be on the verge of a sixth wave of COVID-19 pushed by the
“worst version” of the omicron variant but.
Town’s rolling seven-day common positivity fee hit 9.94% Tuesday, the very best stage since Jan. 24, in response to data posted by the NYC Division of Well being and Psychological Hygiene.
To make sure, the variety of folks truly getting examined is at multi-month lows, skewing the positivity fee. However citywide transmission charges are up about 6% in simply the final week, pointing to a reliable improve within the unfold of the virus.
In some elements of Manhattan, positivity charges are almost 17% now, whereas they high 20% in japanese elements of Queens.
Dr. Jay Varma, a Weill Cornell epidemiologist and previously Mayor Invoice de Blasio’s high public well being advisor in the course of the pandemic, mentioned infections seem to have stabilized at a excessive stage within the metropolis, relatively than dropping.
“The decline of reported #COVID19 cases in NYC has stopped. Reported cases are at a high plateau, which means actual transmission is very high when you account for the >20x under-counting. This is likely the beginning of a BA.5 wave,” Varma tweeted.
The BA.5 subvariant of the omicron variant of COVID-19 is elevating considerations world wide as a result of it escapes immunity extra simply and transmits extra readily as effectively. Researcher Eric Topol, in a widely quoted post this week, referred to as BA.5 the “worst version” of omicron but seen.
NYS COVID Knowledge
Statewide, COVID numbers are edging larger as effectively.
After a gentle decline for greater than a month, hospitalizations surged again above 2,000 within the newest knowledge reported Tuesday. Whereas it is a small fraction of the almost 13,000 who have been hospitalized in mid-January, it is nonetheless an abrupt improve.
The worst pattern is among the many youngest victims – the hospitalization fee amongst children beneath age 1 is up about 25% in simply the final week.