The top Giants vs. Buccaneers player props picks

The Giants might be in for it on Monday night time after they head south to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in primetime. Tom Brady faces the group he hates probably the most recent off back-to-back losses. Brady is 11-4 ATS in his profession after dropping two straight and New York is simply 11-16 ATS as street underdogs on Monday Night time Soccer. With so many excessive profile stars in motion tonight, player props betting must be heavy for this one.

Let’s check out our favourite Giants vs. Buccaneers player props picks for this NFL Week 11 Monday Night time Soccer matchup, full with betting evaluation.

The Finest Giants vs. Buccaneers Player Props

Chris Godwin Anytime Landing Scorer

This recreation ought to present Chris Godwin with an unbelievable alternative to get into the top zone for his sixth landing of the season. Antonio Brown is out. Mike Evans is red-hot and second within the league in receiving touchdowns, making him almost certainly to get some further consideration from the Giants secondary. Oh yeah, and Tom Brady is off back-to-back losses, enjoying the group he hates most.

Godwin could be a great play for this prop nearly any week, as he’s Tampa Bay’s chief in receptions, targets, and receiving yards. He even has a dashing landing to his identify this 12 months. However what makes him stand out on this matchup particularly is the Giants’ lack of ability to cowl slot receivers within the purple zone.

The Giants have allowed 10 landing receptions by wideouts by 9 video games. Strikingly, eight of these 10 scores by large receivers had been tallied by slot receivers. Godwin is without doubt one of the league’s finest on this position and may be capable to produce a stat line much like the one Cooper Kupp produced when he confronted New York in Week 6. Kupp caught 9 of 12 targets for 130 yards and two scores in that one.

Tampa Bay’s passing offense has produced 27 scores by the air already in 9 video games. That common of three such scores per recreation is a league excessive and jumps even larger when they’re at house, as they common a mind-boggling 4.5 passing scores per recreation at Raymond James Stadium. Vast receivers have caught 18 of these 27 passing touchdowns, giving us a median of two large receiver scores per recreation with which to work. With Brady having thrown at the very least 4 touchdowns in every of his 4 house video games and seeking to inflict most injury tonight, it’s arduous to think about Godwin NOT scoring.

Tom Brady Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns

The above leads us completely into this prop choice. How will you go up a prop that pays higher than even cash for asking a man to do what he has performed in all of his house video games to this point this season?

That’s proper, Tom Brady solely wants three landing passes to money this wager, but, as talked about, has thrown for at the very least 4 scores in all 4 of his house video games this 12 months. There are seemingly a pair starters within the NFL proper now that received’t attain 18 passing touchdowns throughout the entirety of 2021. Brady has that many in 4 house video games.

That 4 recreation pattern house shouldn’t be the extent of his conquests this season both. Brady has 27 passing touchdowns already, two greater than the subsequent closest man, Patrick Mahomes, who has performed an additional recreation. That implies that on any discipline, Brady is averaging three landing passes per recreation, sufficient to win this choose. Tampa’s quarterback has thrown three or extra touchdowns in 5 of his group’s 9 video games, tossing at the very least two in all however two contests.

It’s unlikely that the Giants are going to be the group to sluggish him down both. For starters, he loathes this franchise, which instantly price him two extra Tremendous Bowl rings. Secondly, New York simply isn’t an excellent go protection on any entrance. They’re ranked twenty first in passing yards allowed and are tied for the seventh highest passing touchdowns towards common. Worse but, New York is tangled up with two different groups for the sixth highest passing landing proportion towards (66.66%).

We all know Brady isn’t going to place the brakes on with a big lead right here. He’ll wish to get this offense proper once more and grind the Giants to a pulp if he will get the prospect. Doing that together with his arm will solely make issues sweeter. He ought to explode on this one the way in which Matthew Stafford and Dak Prescott did towards this identical protection earlier within the season.

Daniel Jones Over 240.5 Passing Yards

If our suspicions are right and Brady is to pour it on tonight, then Daniel Jones goes to need to discover a solution to maintain tempo. Groups know by now that’s unlikely to occur by pounding the rock, so Jones will most likely need to take to the air if New York is to face an opportunity.

Tampa Bay has been the league’s most dominant run-stopping unit for a number of years now and at present sit second in that class this season (though Vita Vea is out tonight). The Buccaneers enable lower than 80 yards on the bottom per recreation, regardless of having already confronted three of the league’s top 5 dashing outfits. The Tampa Bay go protection, nonetheless, is susceptible, sitting twenty second within the NFL, permitting 254.2 yards per recreation.

The Bucs have clamped down a little bit of late towards the go, however opposing quarterbacks have nonetheless topped this prop’s requirement in six of the 9 video games  (six of eight for those who solely take into account video games by which the starter performed all the recreation). It’s additionally value noting that the three quarterbacks who didn’t top this quantity are at present ranked twenty seventh, thirty first, and thirty second in passing yards per recreation, all far worse than the Giants’ No. 14 rating.

Jones’ passing numbers have cooled off a bit in current weeks, however he nonetheless would have cashed this wager in 5 of the eight video games he performed in full. Two of the three by which he failed to take action got here towards the league’s finest and twelfth go defenses, whereas the third permits just some yards extra per recreation than this Tampa group.

New York enters play off a bye and will have some good scripted go performs early to take a piece out of what we want right here.

Nevertheless, we anticipate the Giants to be chasing this recreation all through and that may nearly actually be through Jones’ arm and legs. He ought to crest this passing yardage quantity in rubbish time, at worst.

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